Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.710051 0.815188 0.929833 1.064036 1.216737 1.384993 1.584363
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.581152 0.729577 0.905487 1.128951 1.404878 1.734036 2.156124
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.486884 0.663465 0.889299 1.198307 1.609079 2.135242 2.859202
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.398164 0.585765 0.843306 1.220788 1.757831 2.492002 3.569054
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.338068 0.533906 0.820904 1.268976 1.947189 2.930778 4.459809
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.279072 0.471241 0.770706 1.266708 2.062062 3.280446 5.278519
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.239026 0.429543 0.743828 1.293565 2.223068 3.720040 6.297532
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.198029 0.377732 0.690739 1.267397 2.292593 4.023450 7.143200
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.177029 0.356666 0.685512 1.320691 2.502548 4.584853 8.496102
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.161411 0.342357 0.689397 1.389990 2.749973 5.242749 10.106910
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.142046 0.316764 0.667377 1.406122 2.900013 5.744353 11.501189
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.123989 0.290209 0.638641 1.403581 3.012178 6.188038 12.843380
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.108551 0.266648 0.612747 1.404176 3.134121 6.673831 14.349672
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.095969 0.247037 0.591916 1.412156 3.272949 7.212954 16.040492
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.086954 0.234065 0.583601 1.446522 3.474240 7.908662 18.154313
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.076587 0.215572 0.559209 1.439600 3.581722 8.418188 19.936633
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.069867 0.205118 0.552280 1.473189 3.788143 9.172754 22.363707
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.061472 0.188338 0.526526 1.455629 3.868927 9.652212 24.225255
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.055883 0.178262 0.516342 1.476296 4.047558 10.383849 26.776902
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.048736 0.162038 0.486690 1.440105 4.075064 10.755151 28.505904
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.045792 0.158019 0.490289 1.495897 4.353741 11.783932 32.001934
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.043693 0.156243 0.500053 1.570901 4.696014 13.017959 36.177382
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.039971 0.148314 0.490166 1.586974 4.876627 13.855098 39.425098